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C

On The Threshold: To Infinity and beyond...



By Alessandro Pasetti, 21 October.

The team of Inveztments has often warned real estate investors about the intrinsically volatile nature of financial markets and related asset classes such as equities, bonds and currencies. However, if you are on risk-off mode and sniffing opportunities that put funds to work, we might have something right for you: three property development gems – Infinity Waters, The Baltic 56 and Opto Student – could be ideal choices in a UK environment where several speculative investments are under significant pressure.

Landscape

Before moving to the most attractive projects marketed by Inveztments, here are a few examples of what it means to be invested in riskier assets in the UK and elsewhere nowadays.

Volatility, which has normalised in the low teens for a long time now, has recently surged to the 20s. It is still relatively low by historic standards, but nervousness is building among financial investors.

(Source Yahoo Finance)

Meanwhile, Gilt yields have risen significantly (similar trends, for different reasons, apply to benchmark interest rates in most developed economies), hence bond values have fallen.

Domestically, more pain is likely in the fixed-income market as the Bank of England prepares for another hike early next year, although when the second base rate rise since 2008 was announced in early August – thanks to a strong labour market and credit growth –the potential benefits, which should have boosted Sterling, were completely offset by bearish sentiment. Essentially, the move was already priced-in, and the pound failed to surge after mildly hawkish monetary policies were implemented, affected by fears of a no-deal Brexit.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Unsurprisingly, small caps were hammered, while the FTSE 100 also suffered, given pressure on bonds, Brexit uncertainty and a bounce in Sterling, although macroeconomic data was still acceptable.

(Source: Yahoo Finance)

(Source Yahoo Finance)

(Note for the reader: the situation has been even worse for many Italian clients who are long on financial assets in their domestic market, as equities slumped lately and large paper losses were recorded by those who have invested in bonds, given fast-rising spreads and yields.)

Our proposition

Infinity Waters tops the list: this is a residential property development located in the highly desirable Liverpool Waterfront, a prime area, which is benefiting from over £5bn worth of investment. The development is well positioned to appeal to the city’s thriving rental market, and demand from investors has been solid so far.

“We have dealt with several projects and developers over the years, and Infinity stands out on both counts,” Tonino Montesanti says. “It was well received, and we expect more interest ahead of closing.”

One year ahead of completion, the required disbursement is below the £100,000 threshold, with a steady 7% yield for three years.

If you are not familiar with Liverpool, and you want to find out what is truly unique about this flagship UK city and its amenities, please click here and here. World-class facilities are an obvious attraction, as well as the changing skyline: “the three towers will soar 27, 33 and 39 storeys high, with the tallest emerging as one of the city’s highest residential buildings,” the marketing material says.

If the cherry on the cake of residential development market is Infinity Waters, The Baltic 56, in the student accommodation segment, is the cream filling.

The initial cash outlay is significantly lower, given that the project offers self-contained studios – some of the largest available in the local market – from only £77,950 per unit, as well as a slightly higher yield for a longer period of time than Infinity; and, notably, a rather quick delivery for investors who cannot wait to deploy capital (click here for the full details).

Finally, in the student niche one of the flagship projects is Opto Student, based in Newcastle, whose strategic location and features are highlighted in the picture below. Perfectly positioned to cater to the rising demand for purpose-built student accommodation in the city, it is only slightly more expensive than The Baltic 56.

Give us a call or contact our team here if you have any queries.

(This post was written by Alessandro Pasetti. Ale is the founder of Hedging Beta Ltd. He writes about investment strategy and assets valuation for European clients as well as Seeking Alpha, The Loadstar, Transport Intelligence and others. Based in London, he previously worked for about five years at Dow Jones/The Wall Street Journal, producing analysis for the IB community. Prior to that, he contributed to the launch of London-based Loan Radar, where he worked for three years. He had stints in equity research at Bear Stearns in London, HVB in Munich, and Unicredit in Milan.

It was edited by Gavin van Marle, managing editor of London-based The Loadstar. Gavin is also the author of the book Around the World in Freighty Ways: Adventures in Globalisation. He has won numerous awards, including the Seahorse Journalist of the Year 2011 and 2009, and Supply Chain Journalist of the Year 2010 and 2014.)