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  • Study looks at price premiums near stations in London, Manchester and Glasgow

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  • Price premium to live near top state school in England is over £180,000

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  • UK: Public now able to find out what builders pay for on new housing developments

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  • Rents reach record high in UK for third month in a row

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  • Rents reach record high in UK for third month in a row

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  • More than 90,000 sales registered in England and Wales in July

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  • UK: Study reveals rental costs before buying a first home

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  • UK: Land agents suggest more new homes should be built near railways

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  • UK: North South divide exists for sales as well as prices

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  • Best short term letting yields in Liverpool and Manchester revealed

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  • Over £600 million announced for new housing infrastructure in England

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  • UK: Rents increased by 1.2% in the 12 months to July 2019, latest official data shows

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  • UK: Bigger populations don’t necessarily mean higher rents

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  • UK: Latest housing market analysis suggests sales are steady despite Brexit uncertainty

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  • Rents rise across Britain in 12 months to July apart from in the Midlands

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  • UK: Why purpose-built student accommodation is such a good investment

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  • UK: Buy-to-let from overseas: a guide for non-resident landlords

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  • Sales increase in prime central London and price decline slows

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  • Forecast for price boost in the UK as buyers rush to beat Brexit deadline

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  • UK property market conditions are strongest in northern regions

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  • UK: Halifax: Housing market remains steady after slight dip in July's prices

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  • Manchester remains bright place to invest despite clouds on horizon

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  • Lack of homes to rent supporting growth in London lettings markets

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  • UK: Tenant demand rises 23% on the year

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  • UK: NHBC: Registrations at 12 year high

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  • UK: New figures show highest number of new home registrations in 12 years

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  • Buyer demand remains strong in UK cities

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  • Regeneration cities in England see strong rental growth and demand

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  • Prime lettings market stabilising in London

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  • With the pound and UK property prices falling, is now the perfect time to buy?

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  • Property market optimistic about new Prime Minister in the UK

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  • Liverpool: Northern Powerhouse celebrates five years of investment

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  • UK: Film industry boosting short term lettings in prime locations

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  • UK: Asking rents reach record high as demand rises in private rented sector

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  • Why 2020 is the perfect time to buy property in Spain

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  • UK: Research reveals almost all top buy to let yields are in areas close to universities

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  • Mortgage market in Northern Powerhouse driven by low prices and top yields

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  • UK rents rise 1.79% during Q2

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  • Buyers Return to U.K. Housing Market as Confidence Improves

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  • The UK's BTL market remains competitive despite wider financial climate

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  • UK: Property investment returns highest in university cities in north and Midlands

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  • Analysis predicts summer boost for UK house prices

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  • City Residential: Liverpool boosts build-to-rent opportunities

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  • The best cities for buying property outside London

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  • UK housing market showing resilience

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  • Majority of buy to let landlords in London see property as the best long term investment

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  • Average property prices in key UK cities up 2.1% year on year

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  • New research finds UK landlords are optimistic despite Brexit

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  • Flat-pack home? Ikea moves in on UK housing

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  • UK: Landlords with bigger portfolios more likely to invest further

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  • Council house building in England at highest level since 1990

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  • Newcastle ranked as best university location for property investment

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  • Rents in the UK up 1.3% in the 12 months to May 2019, latest index shows

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  • Is now the right time to buy property in London?

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  • Rents increased by an average of 2.6% in Britain in year to May 2019

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  • UK: Price of property coming to market almost reached a national record in June

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  • U.S. Super Rich Are Descending on London’s Luxury Housing Market

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  • UK: Forecast based on agreed sales prices predicts 9% growth from May to August

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  • UK: Government to invest £142m in infrastructure to support 8,500 new homes

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  • UK: Younger people more likely to see property as a source of retirement income

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  • Property sales in Spain up 14% in first quarter of 2019

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  • UK set to become a nation of renters in next 20 years

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  • UK: House prices up 5.2% in 12 months to May 2019, lender data shows

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  • Rents show stability in the prime London lettings markets

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  • UK: Government makes it easier for councils to deliver new housing projects

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  • Prime London sales markets showing positive signs of improvement

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  • New online tool helps investors identify buy-to-let hotspots, Liverpool still leading the way

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  • UK: Demand for purpose-built student accommodation continues to grow

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  • Landlords looking at London house prices for short-term profits

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  • Brexit: UK property searches from overseas buyers have steadily increased

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  • Will a new Prime Minister spark a change in policy for buy-to-let Landlords?

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  • Manchester Ranks 2nd for Foreign Direct Investment in BFPG Report

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  • UK: Property portal detects rise in searches from overseas buyers

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  • Interest from prospective tenants in top end London lettings market highest for five years

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  • Boost for housing market as Japan’s biggest housebuilder, Sekisui House, moves into UK

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  • UK: Average rents in the UK increased by 2% in the 12 months to April 2019

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  • Uk Government Publishes Home Buying and Selling Guides for Property Market

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  • Environment plan for Manchester includes making properties more green

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  • UK: Property price growth bounced back in April, up 5% over three month period

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  • Rents increased across most of England and Wales in April

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  • Rents in prime central London up 1.1% in year to March 2019

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  • Cost of renting a room in UK up by 11% year on year, latest index shows

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  • UK: Industry committed to delivering more and better homes

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  • England’s rental market is more profitable than 159 world nations

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  • UK: Positive start to 2019 for new home building industry as registrations rise

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  • UK: Equity release market sees busiest start to the year on record

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  • UK property: why house prices are so high

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  • Outlook for student housing in the UK is positive despite Brexit uncerainty

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  • Young professionals continue to flock to Manchester

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  • UK: What are the best postcodes for buy-to-let yields?

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  • Average cost of a new let in Britain increased by almost 2% in year to March 2019

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  • UK’s top 10 buy-to-let hotspots are all in north of England

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  • London rents are at record highs, so where are the bright spots for buy-to-let investors?

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  • UK property transactions up 6.8% in March: HMRC

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  • Study rates London property most likely to increase despite Brexit uncertainty

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  • How has the UK property market reacted to Brexit?

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  • Brexit delay may prompt another rise in UK property prices

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  • Investment in commercial property in Central London up 28%

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  • Rents in the UK up 3.3% year on year, higher than inflation

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  • Is Brexit really challenging the U.K. property market?

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On The Threshold: Where is the UK property market heading in 2019?



By Alessandro Pasetti, 21 December

2019 is just around the corner, and there are signs it could be another decent year in terms of capital appreciation for real estate in Britain, if you listen to the experts, who in recent weeks have downplayed political and economic uncertainty in terms of growth prospects. The mid-term outlook remains encouraging, based on several projections.

According to market specialist Savills, house prices in the UK are set to rise broadly in line with income power over the next five years, “but the traditional north-south divide will turn on its head”, as one should expect. Between 2019 and 2023, prices are projected to rise by 14.8% across the country, ranging from 21.6% in the North West to single digit growth in London, the South and East.

These forecasts are consistent with data from Zoopla, which says that despite Brexit-related uncertainty, “Brits are staying positive when it comes to property” – with 55% expecting house prices to rise in the next 12 to 18 months. According to its State of the Property Nation report, consumer confidence in house prices is up from 44% in 2016, with most people expecting single digit price rises, although real estate agents are more cautious.

Meanwhile, Stephanie McMahon, head of research at Strutt & Parker, recently talked of “forecast for UK growth at 2.5% for 2019 – with the 5-year forecast from 2018 to 2022 standing at 18%.”

Total transactions for England and Wales in 2018 were flat, and similar trends are likely to persist next year, according to McMahon, with the number of registered buyers and viewing numbers gradually up, although Prime Central London is a rather different matter, with volumes continuing to be low by historic standards. As far as the number of transactions is concerned, a fall of “6.9% since the Brexit vote to 1.145 million” has been recorded so far, according to data from Savills, which says it demonstrates the resilience of the UK housing market.

A mild 1% drop to 2023 is now expected – in this respect, some useful data can be found here.

In big cities where Inveztments is heavily involved in new development projects, such as Manchester and Liverpool, trends remain structurally favourable on several fronts – for more evidence, please click here. Of course, some underlying data is mixed on a monthly basis across the country, but seasonality often renders very short-term trends highly volatile and less reliable than others.

Research published by PriceWaterhouseCoopers this year noted that under a base-case scenario, a further softening of house price growth to around 3% in 2018 was expected to continue at a similar average rate to 2025. This implies that the average UK house price would rise from £221,000 in 2017 to around £285,000 by 2025.

“Price growth at this pace would mean that the ratio of house prices to earnings would remain broadly stable, but still at high levels by historical standards,” it added.

As The Irish Times wrote, most property experts predict steady but unspectacular property growth in 2019, as lending rules and higher stock levels help slow house price inflation. Sherry FitzGerald chief economist Marian Finnegan argued that transaction activity improved marginally during 2018; however, “this expansion has been driven almost entirely by the new homes market”.

“The latest data from the Residential Property Price Register reveals that about 23,300 single transactions were recorded during the first half of 2018,” she said, adding “this represents a 5% increase on the same period in 2017.

“Notably, almost 4,300 new homes transacted in the first six months of the year, a 31% increase year-on-year. Sales activity in the established or second-hand market was much more subdued, with about 19,000 sales representing just a 1% rise.”

Action… and Happy Holidays!

We remind you that the flagship projects managed by the team of Inveztments – click here, here and here – have received a strong response from the market, and we would be glad to help you find the property investment that suits your risk/reward profile.

We wish you and your loved ones happy New Year and a fantastic holiday season!

(This post was written by Alessandro Pasetti. Ale is the founder of Hedging Beta Ltd. He writes about investment strategy and assets valuation for European clients as well as Seeking Alpha, The Loadstar, Transport Intelligence and others. Based in London, he previously worked for about five years at Dow Jones/The Wall Street Journal, producing analysis for the IB community. Prior to that, he contributed to the launch of London-based Loan Radar, where he worked for three years. He had stints in equity research at Bear Stearns in London, HVB in Munich, and Unicredit in Milan.

It was edited by Gavin van Marle, managing editor of London-based The Loadstar. Gavin is also the author of the book Around the World in Freighty Ways: Adventures in Globalisation. He has won numerous awards, including the Seahorse Journalist of the Year 2011 and 2009, and Supply Chain Journalist of the Year 2010 and 2014.)